OVERVIEW: AFC EAST
In the AFC East I expect to distinguish the Patriots drop off a bit, but not
much, the reason seeing the projected drop off is mostly due to the fact
that the Patriots bequeath be without the services of affronting coordinator
Charlie Weis and defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel, both have disconcerted on
to point coaching positions, Weis with Notre Dame and Crennel with the
Cleveland Browns. Eric Mangini is the new defensive coordinator, while
Bill Belichick commit be calling the plays on offense himself.
The Patriots play seven games this season against 2004 playoff teams besides
four of those affairs leave take place on the road, the Patriots also lost
a bevy of talent such as WR David Patton, OG Joe Andruzzi, and CB Ty Law
via free ride agency again very well could be without their defensive superior LB
Tedy Bruschi whose status is uncertain following an off season stroke,
then there is the matter of the Patriots winning three of the past four
Sans pareil Bowls, meaning that the Patriots have played nine post season games
above and beyond the standard sixteen game regular season schedule over the
past four years and have had to deal with all of the off season
commitments and hoopla that come blot out winning the stuffed game, also, don’t
forget that the squad that wins the Super Bowl is in the least best
position come draft time, meaning that the “Fresh Blood” talent collection on
the Patriots has depleted due to their success.
The saving grace for the Patriots in the AFC East comes from the fact
that the Jets did not help themselves a whole lot monopoly the doodle other than
taking Kicker Mike Nugent out of Ohio State with their top selection,
like the Patriots, the Jets also lost a lot of talent via free agency
with the departure of starters WR Santana Moss, TE Anthony Becht, RT
Kareem McKenzie, and DT Jason Ferguson, however, the greatest loss to
free author for the Jets may turn out to symbolize RB Lamont Jordan who could
have stepped in quite nicely if 32 year old RB Cutis Martin goes down to
injury.
However, the Jets were smart enough to pick up former Dolphin QB Jay
Fiedler to back up starting QB Chad Pennington who has been injury prone
as of late, Jet HC Herm Edwards replaced his offensive coordinator Paul
Hackett with former Titan offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger which
will be interesting because Heimerdinger likes to throw the deep ball,
meanwhile, Pennington is fresh off shoulder surgery again is better suited
for the west coast style of short ball passing.
Buffalo finished the 2004 season strong down the stretch in winning 8 of
9 games before losing their final game of the season at home to the
Steelers, however, that season necrosis loss to Pittsburgh was costly as it
proved to be a difference maker in deciding who went to the playoffs and
who stayed at at rest, the Bills are indeed a team on the spring with a really
good defense and excellent special teams, however, they probably booted
QB Drew Bledsoe out of town a year too early besides will be starting last
years #1 draft pick JP Losman in his corner which of course means some
growing pains this season for the young QB.
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Miami finished the 2004 season with a shoddy 4 - 12 record but like Buffalo
looks to be a team on the rise in the AFC East, I won't be foolhardy
enough to predict a playoff berth after a four win season but I do see
major perfecting for the Dolphins this season and think a seven or eight
win season is not out of the realm of possibility when considering that
the Dolphins now have Nick Saban at the helm as their new HC.
Unlike Steve Spurrier when he made his NFL debut lock up the Skins, Nick
Saban was smart enough to go out and get experienced NFL assistants,
Saban brought in old Viking offensive coordinator Scott Linehan to run
the offense and former Charger nurture Hudson Houck to pace the defense,
Saban also engineered one of the best drafts of any team in the league,
look for former Auburn RB Ronnie Brown to make an immediate impact.
In closing, the Patriots impeccable up 2004 with an impressive 13 - 5 - 1 ATS
mark on the heels of posting a 14 - 4 - 1 ATS mark in 2003, can New England
once again dominate the spread wars in 2005? Probably consequently, but not to the
extent of the past couple of seasons, you see my friend “Joe Public” type
bettors will in all likelihood view the Patriots as a “Go against” team
in 2005 due to the loss of Weis and Crennel, however, Belichick is still
the HC and Tom Brady is still the QB below center.
With that being said I would recommend making a play on the Patriots
whenever they are receiving points in a doggie role, not much value will
be had this season with the Jets, meanwhile, both Buffalo and Miami will
be unpredictable during the first eight weeks of the season due to the
fact that both teams will have new starting QB’s under center besides both
teams have weaknesses up front on the offensive line, in Miami's case
their players have to learn new schemes on both sides of the ball apropos to
a whole new coaching staff.
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by: James Campbell
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